Research and analysis

Consensus statements on COVID-19

Consensus statements from the UK Health Security Agency's Epidemiology Modelling Review Group (EMRG).

Documents

EMRG consensus statement on COVID-19: 29 September 2021

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EMRG consensus statement on COVID-19: 22 September 2021

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EMRG consensus statement on COVID-19: 15 September 2021

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EMRG consensus statement on COVID-19: 8 September 2021

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EMRG consensus statement on COVID-19: 1 September 2021

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EMRG consensus statement on COVID-19: 25 August 2021

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EMRG consensus statement on COVID-19: 18 August 2021

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EMRG consensus statement on COVID-19: 11 August 2021

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EMRG consensus statement on COVID-19: 4 August 2021

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EMRG consensus statement on COVID-19: 28 July 2021

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EMRG consensus statement on COVID-19: 21 July 2021

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Details

These consensus statements on coronavirus (COVID-19) are shared with acknowledgment to SPI-M-O, who have developed and shared modelling methodologies and contribute model outputs to these combined estimates.

Consensus statements are an assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) updates its advice accordingly.

These papers contain estimates of the reproduction number (R) and growth rate. See the latest R value and growth rates, and background information. The devolved administrations publish estimates for their own nations.

These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on contributors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.

Published 13 August 2021
Last updated 815 October 2021 + show all updates
  1. Added consensus statement for 29 September 2021.

  2. Added consensus statement for 22 September 2021.

  3. Added consensus statement for 15 September 2021.

  4. Added consensus statement for 8 September 2021.

  5. Added consensus statement for 1 September 2021.

  6. Added consensus statement for 25 August 2021.

  7. Added consensus statement for 18 August 2021.

  8. Added consensus statement for 11 August 2021.

  9. Added consensus statement for 4 August 2021.

  10. First published.