Research and analysis

SPI-M-O: Insights from early vaccination modelling, 9 December 2020

Paper prepared by the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling, Operational sub-group (SPI-M-O).

Documents

SPI-M-O: Insights from early vaccination modellingmodelling, - 9 December 2020

This file may not be suitable for users of assistive technology.

Request an accessible format.
If you use assistive technology (such as a screen reader) and need a version of this document in a more accessible format, please email contact@go-science.gov.uk. Please tell us what format you need. It will help us if you say what assistive technology you use.

Details

Insights from early vaccination modelling prepared by SPI-M-O. on the importance of a high vaccination uptake. It was considered at SAGE 72 on 10 December 2020.

The paper is the assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.

This paper discussesreferences theearly waysSeptember inlevels whichof vaccinationstransmission, canwith bereproduction usednumber to protect the most vulnerable groups before non-pharamecurtical interventions (NPIsR) canapproximately be1.2 reduced.to 1.4. This paperrelates alsoto containsthe projectionsestimates forof theR impactfrom on the populationmodels withinforming varyingthis measures of NPIs.paper.

These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.

Published 22 January 2021
Last updated 13 May 2022 + show all updates
  1. Added HTML version for accessibility purposes. Some HTML images have minor formatting differences to improve accessibility of images.

  2. First published.