Paper from the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling, Operational sub-group (SPI-M-O) summarising further modelling on easing restrictions for England (Roadmap Step 2). It was considered at SAGE 85 on 31 March 2021.
This paper should be read alongside the accompanying modelling papers from SAGE 85:
This updates earlier SPI-M-O statements on modelling on easing restrictions, that was tabled at SAGE 81 on 18 February 2021.
These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.
Redactions in this document have been made to remove any security markings.
The paper is the assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.