Research and analysis

SPI-M-O: Summary of further modelling of easing restrictions – Roadmap Step 3, 5 May 2021

Statement from the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling, Operational sub-group (SPI-M-O).


SPI-M-O: Summary of further modelling of easing restrictions – roadmap step 3, 5 May 2021

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Paper by SPI-M-O summarising further modelling on easing restrictions for England (roadmap step 3). It was considered at SAGE 88 on 5 May 2021.

The paper is the assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.

This paper should be read alongside the accompanying papers from SAGE 88:

This updates earlier SPI-M-O statements on modelling of easing restrictions – roadmap step 2, 31 March 2021, that was tabled at SAGE 85 on 31 March 2021.

These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.

Redactions in this document have been made to remove any security markings.

Published 10 May 2021
Last updated 13 May 2022 + show all updates
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